QPR have scored only one goal in their last three matches
Both teams have scored in just one of the last seven meetings between the teams
Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 5/6
Derby's hopes of making the Championship play-offs rely on neither Hull nor Wrexham taking more than two points from their final two games, and they may even be over before this match starts if the Tigers win at Charlton in an earlier kick-off.
The Rams are favourites to get what they need and win in London but they have been hit-and-miss in recent weeks and have lost their last three away matches at Coventry, Southampton and Norwich.
QPR are not as high in the table as any of those teams but they are in a solid 13th place despite losing their last two games against Millwall and Swansea.
Derby took the first meeting between the teams 1-0 in October with a goal by Carlton Morris and another low-scoring affair looks likely when they meet again at Loftus Road.
Team news
QPR are set to be missing Karamoko Dembele, Kwame Poku, Jake Clarke-Salter, Jimmy Dunne, Ziyad Larkeche and Koki Saito due to injuries. Steve Cook is not likely to feature while Tylon Smith and Paul Smyth could come into the starting line-up.
Derby will be without the injured Patrick Agyemang, Callum Elder, Rhian Brewster and Bobby Clark. Derry Murkin could also miss the game after going off injured in the defeat to Norwich, with Craig Forsyth his likely replacement.
The latest QPR vs Derby odds are available on LiveScore Bet
The stats
There have been under 2.5 goals in three of QPR's last four Championship games.
Eight of Derby's 19 league wins this season have come by a 1-0 scoreline.
QPR have won only three of their last 11 matches.
Derby have not drawn any of their last 15 games.
Ten of QPR's 16 league wins have been secured at home.
The teams each have two 1-0 wins in the last seven meetings between the clubs.
The latest QPR vs Derby odds are available on LiveScore Bet
Prediction
Derby are hard to trust as favourites to win at QPR given they have lost six of their last seven away games and with the Hoops having suffered two successive defeats, preference is to back a low-scoring game at Loftus Road.
The first match between the teams this season was settled by a single goal and that was in keeping with the history of this fixture, as five of their last seven meetings have produced under 2.5 goals.
QPR have scored only two goals in their last four matches, being shut out by both Bristol City and Millwall, while five of the Rams' last eight fixtures have finished with two or fewer goals.
The goals QPR conceded against Swansea on Tuesday were both avoidable as they were caught cold by a second-minute strike and the foul that led to the Swans' winning penalty looked to have taken place outside the area.
Derby have scored more than once in only two of their last eight matches, half of which have ended 1-0, and another game with under 2.5 goals is on the cards.
