Prediction markets have exploded in popularity during the 2026 World Cup, giving US users a completely different way to get involved in the tournament beyond traditional sports betting. Rather than placing a bet with a bookmaker, prediction markets let you trade on the probability of real-world outcomes, buying and selling positions as the odds shift in real time.
18+ Please trade responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. US only.
Think of it less like placing a bet and more like trading a stock, except the stock is whether Argentina makes the semi-finals or whether the USA progresses from the group stages. With the World Cup generating some of the biggest prediction market volumes ever seen, now is a great time to get started. Here are the two leading regulated prediction markets available to US users right now.
Polymarket: $50 Trading Bonus with Code LIVESCORE
Polymarket is the biggest prediction market in the world by volume and has seen enormous interest during the 2026 World Cup. The platform covers hundreds of live markets across group stage results, knockout progression, top scorers and outright tournament winners, with odds updating in real time as games are played and results come in.
New users can claim a $50 trading bonus when they sign up using the Polymarket invite code, making it a strong starting point for anyone looking to get involved in World Cup prediction trading for the first time. The platform is available on both web and app and is designed to be straightforward even for users who are new to prediction markets.
18+ Please trade responsibly. For entertainment purposes only. US only.
Kalshi: $10 Trade Bonus with Code LIVESCORE
Kalshi is a federally regulated prediction market based in the US, operating under oversight from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That regulatory backing makes it one of the most trusted platforms in the space and a strong choice for US users who want to trade on World Cup outcomes with confidence.
New users can claim a $10 trade bonus by signing up with the promo code LIVESCORE. Kalshi covers a strong range of World Cup markets, including match results, group winners, and tournament outrights, with positions tradeable in real time throughout the competition.
18+ Please trade responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. US only.
What Is a Prediction Market?
Prediction markets are platforms where users trade on the probability of real-world events happening. Each market is priced between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the probability of an outcome. If you buy a position at 60 cents and the outcome happens, you receive $1, netting a 40 cent profit. If it does not happen, your position expires at zero.
During the World Cup, this means you can trade on anything from whether a specific team wins their next match to who lifts the trophy in July. Positions can be bought and sold at any point before the market closes, meaning you can lock in profits or cut losses as the tournament unfolds.
Responsible Gambling in the USA
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call or visit the Council on Compulsive Gambling:
Gamblers Anonymous at 855-2-Call GA or www.gamblersanonymous.org
CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, or WY – Call 1-800-GAMBLER
AZ – Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP
IA – Call 1-800-BETS-OFF
KS, NV – Call 1-800-522-4700
KY – Call 1-800 GAMBLER, 18+
MI – Call 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help
MA – Call 1-800-327-5050
NC – Call 1-800-662-4357
NY – Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369)
DISCLAIMER: The information on this site is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling comes with it's fair share of risks, and it's essential to recognize that when using online gambling sites. While we review different gambling sites, you should check with local laws in your area before gambling online. Also, all gambling sites and guides are rated 21+ only.
The following free gambling addiction resources can be of help:
21+ Please Gamble Responsibly, gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER NCPG – ICRG – Gamblers Anonymous – Gambling Therapy
