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Portugal vs Spain predictions: La Roja to send their neighbours packing

Published:
authorRoss Kilvington
Striker Mikel Oyarzabal has already scored four times for Spain at the World Cup finals.
Striker Mikel Oyarzabal has already scored four times for Spain at the World Cup finals.
  • Portugal scored a late winner against Croatia to move into the last 16

  • Spain won their first World Cup knockout match since 2010 with a 3-0 win over Austria

  • Recommended bet: Spain to win @ 9/10 with LiveScore Bet

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Portugal take on Iberian rivals Spain in this blockbuster World Cup last 16 tie and La Roja will fancy that they have enough quality to move into the quarter-finals.

It took a late winner from Goncalo Ramos against Croatia to seal a 2-1 victory for Portugal, just as the last 32 tie looked to be going into extra-time.

Croatia scored what looked like a last-gasp equaliser, but it was eventually ruled out for offside.

Spain's route to the last 16 was more straightforward. Luis de la Fuente's men eased to a 3-0 win over Austria in what was arguably one of the finest team displays of the tournament thus far.

Date, kick-off time, stadium, competition

Monday July 6th, 8pm kick-off time, AT&T Stadium, Dallas, World Cup 2026 last 16

Where to Watch

BBC One, BBC iPlayer

Outright Odds

Portugal 12/1 Spain 6/1

More market odds and predictions

Recommended bet

Stat

Spain to win

Spain's last competitive defeat in 90 minutes came against Scotland in March 2023

Mikel Oyarzabal to score anytime

Oyazabal has scored four goals at the World Cup so far

Cristiano Ronaldo over 1.5 shots on target

Ronaldo is averaging 1.8 shots on target per-game this tournament

Marc Cucurella to register an assist

Cucurella has provided two assists at the World Cup

Spain over 1.5 goals

Spain have scored two or more goals in two of their four games

Portugal came form behind to defeat Croatia, but Roberto Martinez's side will have to play better if they want to move into the quarterfinals.

Spain, however, have not been beaten over 90 minutes in a competitive fixture since a 2-0 loss to Scotland at Hampden in March 2023.

In the Nations League final last June, Portugal did prevail over their neighbours, but that was on penalties following a 2-2 draw.

Furthermore, the last time the Selecao defeated La Roja in 90 minutes came back in November 2010 courtesy of a 4-0 victory.

Spain have won three of their four matches at this World Cup, conceding no goals in the process. Portugal, on the other hand, have won just twice, drawing with DR Congo and Colombia.

The Spanish will be counting on Mikel Oyarzabal to be their main threat in front of goal. He has already scored four times during the competition, netting braces against Saudi Arabia and then Austria in the last 32.

He has scored 16 goals across his last 15 appearances for Spain and he is the best candidate to score anytime in this clash.

Cristiano Ronaldo will be spearheading Portugal's challenge. The 41-year-old has scored three goals across his four matches, including a penalty against Croatia.

He is averaging 1.8 shots on target per-game during the tournament so far and will be desperate to keep his dream of winning the World Cup alive.

Last time out, Marc Cucurella linked up well with Oyarzabal, providing the 29-year-old forward with two assists against Austria.

Backing him to register another assist against Portugal is certainly a good option, especially as he will enter the match full of confidence.

Spain may have drawn a blank in their opener against Cape Verde, but La Roja have scored eight goals in the subsequent three matches.

Indeed, the Spanish averaged 2.6 goals per-game across their previous three ties in this tournament, so expect them to continue this clinical edge into the last 16.

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Team news

Martinez has no fresh injury concerns heading into this last 16 clash with Portugal and it is highly likely that he will go with the same starting XI that defeated Croatia in the previous rounds.

Spain are only missing winger Nico Williams and it remains to be seen whether he will be available for the later rounds should Spain progress.

Alex Baena and Lamine Yamal will continue out on the flanks for De la Fuente's side.

Predicted Team Line-Ups

Portugal (4-2-3-1): Diogo Costa; Joao Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes; Vitinha, Joao Neves; Pedro Neto, Bruno Fernandes, Rafael Leao; Cristiano Ronaldo.

Spain (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon; Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsi, Aymeric Laporte; Marc Cucurella; Rodri, Pedri; Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Alex Baena; Mikel Oyarzabal.

Stats

  • Spain have won 10 of their last 14 matches since losing on penalties to Portugal in the Nations League final

  • Spain are looking to make it back-to-back World Cup knockout wins for the first time since the 2010 semi-final and final

  • Portugal have suffered only one defeat across their last 10 games - a 2-0 defeat to the Republic of Ireland

  • Cristiano Ronaldo scored his 146th international goal in the 2-1 win over Croatia

  • Mikel Oyarzabal has scored 16 goals in his last 15 matches for Spain

  • Spain have kept four consecutive clean sheets at the World Cup. Portugal have kept two in their four matches

  • Unai Simon has gone 519 minutes without conceding at the World Cup, breaking Walter Zenga's record that has stood since the 1990 finals

  • Marc Cucurella is Spain's assist leader with two in the tournament

  • Five of the previous seven games between these two teams finished as draws. Three of those ended 0-0.

Score prediction: Portugal 1-2 Spain

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Portugal vs Spain predictions: La Roja to send their neighbours packing