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Derby vs Swansea Prediction: Rams to shut out Swans

Published:
Tom ClarkTom Clark
John Eustace has made Derby a tough nut to crack at Pride Park
John Eustace has made Derby a tough nut to crack at Pride Park
  • Derby beat Swansea in both meetings last season, including a 2-0 victory at Pride Park in February

  • Swansea have won just once in seven Championship visits to Pride Park

  • Recommended bet: Derby to win to nil @ 13/5 with LiveScore Bet

Derby welcome Swansea to Pride Park on Saturday looking to improve their start to this campaign by building on their solid home record from last season.

The Rams took 36 points from 23 Championship matches on home soil, winning 10 times, while their games averaged just over 2.5 goals.

That record could be important against a Swansea side who struggled away from home, taking only 25 points from their 23 league trips and losing 12 times.

Derby also got the better of the Swans twice last season, winning 2-1 in Wales before recording a 2-0 success at Pride Park, and the recent head-to-head record suggests the hosts have a good chance of edging another tight contest.

Four of the last five meetings between the sides at Pride Park have produced under 2.5 goals, with Swansea scoring only twice across that run.

The Swans have won only once in seven Championship visits to Derby and have lost three of the last five.

Derby have scored just four goals in their opening three matches in all competitions, while Swansea have struck twice in three. However, the Rams look capable of controlling proceedings at home and can claim another victory without conceding.

The latest Derby vs Swansea odds are available on LiveScore Bet

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Team news

Derby have a number of injury concerns, with Patrick Agyemang and Derry Murkin unavailable and Sammie Szmodics a doubt with a thigh injury. 

Swansea are without long-term injury absentee Cameron Burgess, while Goncalo Franco is unlikely to be back in time for this match

Stephen Eustaquio is on the verge of signing for the Swans and bringing in the Canada captain would be a real coup for the Welsh side and he could be instantly in contention for game time.

The Stats

Derby beat Swansea in both Championship meetings last season, winning 2-1 away and 2-0 at Pride Park.

There have been no draws in the last five meetings between Derby and Swansea.

Swansea have won just one of their seven Championship visits to Pride Park.

Four of the last five meetings between the sides at Pride Park have produced under 2.5 goals.

Derby took 36 points from 23 Championship home matches last season, winning 10 and drawing six.

Swansea took only 25 points from 23 Championship away matches last season and lost 12 times.

The latest Derby vs Swansea odds are available on LiveScore Bet

Prediction

Derby have had the better of Swansea in recent meetings and their strong home record from last season gives them a clear platform to build on at Pride Park.

The Rams have already shown they can find the net this season and Carlton Morris remains their most obvious source of goals, while Swansea's poor away record last term is difficult to ignore.

This could be another tight meeting between the sides, particularly given the low-scoring recent record at Pride Park, but Derby look well placed to take another three points against the Swans.

Score prediction: Derby 1-0 Swansea

Back Derby to win to nil @ 13/5 with LiveScore Bet

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Derby vs Swansea Prediction: Rams to shut out Swans