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Portugal have waited more than 20 years for a competitive victory over Spain and, on current form, that wait may not be ending in Texas. Roberto Martinez's side survived Croatia to reach the last 16, but there has been little about their performances to suggest they are operating at the same level as their neighbours.
Spain have grown stronger with every game, having started with a frustrating opening draw with Cape Verde. They still haven't conceded a goal and another clean sheet would make World Cup history.
It is not just the results either. Luis de la Fuente's side are controlling matches in a way few teams have managed at this tournament. Opponents are creating almost nothing, while Spain continue to generate chances at the other end which is reflected in their expected-goals numbers.
Portugal have had their moments. Ronaldo's penalty against Croatia finally ended his wait for a World Cup knockout goal, while Gonçalo Ramos continues to produce extraordinary numbers whenever the stakes are highest. Four goals and an assist in only 170 knockout minutes is the sort of record that questions whether he should be starting more games for Portugal.
Mikel Oyarzabal could play an important role in the outcome of the match. With four goals already, one more and he draws level with David Villa's best return at a single World Cup.
History suggests these neighbours rarely produce straightforward contests however. Five meetings at major tournaments have brought three draws, one Spanish win and one Portuguese victory. Yet this version of Spain feels different. They are unbeaten in 34 matches, de la Fuente has still not lost a major tournament game as manager, and everything about their performances points in the same direction.
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