Burnley vs Aston Villa predictions: Humphreys card highlights intriguing clash
Jack Ogalbe
Burnley have the Premier League's joint-worst home record
Defender Bashir Humphreys has been booked six times this season
Recommended bet: Bashir Humphreys to be booked @ 10/3 with LiveScore Bet
Aston Villa booked their place in the Europa League final by beating Nottingham Forest on Thursday and resume their Premier League campaign at Burnley on Sunday.
After a difficult start to the season, Villa sit fifth in the Premier — the final Champions League qualification place due to the English's top flight's UEFA coefficient — and start the weekend six points clear of sixth-placed Bournemouth.
Burnley, meanwhile, have already been relegated and are still searching for a new head coach after Scott Parker's departure late last month.
Mike Jackson oversaw last Friday's 3-1 defeat at Leeds, and with it unclear how Villa will approach this game, one of the three Clarets' players booked at Elland Road could be someone to target again.
The latest Burnley vs Aston Villa odds are available on LiveScore Bet.
Team news
Josh Cullen (knee), Connor Roberts (Achilles) and Jordan Beyer (hamstring) are absent for Burnley.
Striker Zian Flemming is expected to start and is one goal from matching Danny Ings and Chris Wood in scoring double-figure goals in the Premier League for the Lancashire outfit.
Villa pair Boubacar Kamara (knee) and Amadou Onana (calf) are sidelined, and Unai Emery may rotate, with rare starts for Jadon Sancho and Tammy Abraham a possibility.
The stats
Burley have the joint-worst home record in the Premier League (W2, D5, L10).
The Clarets are winless in their last 10 in all competitions.
Aston Villa have lost their two away games 1-0.
Both teams have scored in the last four meetings.
Burnley have received 58 yellow cards this season to Aston Villa's 54.
Martin Dubravka has made 127 saves in the Premier League, 24 more than any other goalkeeper.
The latest Burnley vs Aston Villa odds are available on LiveScore Bet.
Prediction
Villa's final weeks of the season are intriguing. They can qualify for next season's Champions League by either finishing fifth or by beating Freiburg in the Europa League final on May 20.
If they do finish fifth and lift that trophy in Istanbul, the sixth-placed side in the Premier League will be included in the Champions League.
Their varying targets make it tough to anticipate how they will approach this game and avoiding a result prediction feels sensible.
Burnley wish they had so much excitement to look forward to, but are again the underdogs with the joint-worst home record in the division, having won only twice at Turf Moor.
As is becoming worryingly familiar, they excelled in winning promotion from the Championship, but have struggled in the top flight.
They will already be planning for next term, and a player who may personify their struggles is defender Bashir Humphreys, who has had a good season yet may not have done enough to secure a move away from Turf Moor.
Humphreys' yellow card against Leeds was his sixth of the season and he might find himself in referee Anthony Taylor's sights, with the official averaging 4.5 cards across his last 18 games.
Back Bashir Humphreys to be booked at 10/3 with LiveScore Bet.
