Brighton vs Leeds predictions: Whites can buck Amex trend as part of 5/1 bet builder
Tom McGarry
Leeds have started the season with back-to-back wins on the road
Eight of the last 10 meetings between these sides have gone under 2.5 goals
Recommended bet: Draw or Leeds double chance, Under 2.5 goals & Diego Gomez over 0.5 shots on target at 5/1 with LiveScore Bet
Brighton have a strong home record against Leeds but Saturday's visitors to the Amex Stadium will be full of confidence after an impressive start to the season.
Leeds followed up back-to-back wins at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League and EFL Cup with a 1-1 home draw against a Brentford side that have also been catching the eye.
As for Brighton, they will be satisfied with their start to the season following progress in the Conference League and thrashing Aston Villa 4-0 in their opening league fixture, although they did most recently go down 4-3 at Chelsea.
The Seagulls are unbeaten in their last 10 home fixtures against Leeds, who have never won at The Amex, last claiming an away victory against Brighton at the Withdean Stadium in November 2009 when both clubs were playing in League One.
Team news
Brighton added midfielder Chema Andres and winger Femi Azeez to their squad on deadline day and both players will hope to make their debuts this weekend.
Georginio Rutter, Yasin Ayari, Jack Hinshelwood and Kaoru Mitoma could all be involved after recent layoffs but Stefanos Tzimas, Yankuba Minteh and Evan Ferguson remain sidelined.
Leeds could also hand debuts to their deadline-day recruits Melvin Bard and Jean-Matteo Bahoya.
Defender Joe Rodon picked up a hamstring injury during the first half of the draw with Brentford and will miss this game. Nico Elvedi is in line to take his place in the back three.
The latest Brighton vs Leeds odds are available on LiveScore Bet
The stats
Brighton are not only unbeaten in their last 10 home games with Leeds, they have kept a clean sheet in each of the last eight meetings between the sides at The Amex.
Leeds did claim a 1-0 win when the sides last met at Elland Road in May — their first victory of any note against the Seagulls since March 2017.
Fabian Hurzeler’s Brighton have won both their home matches this season 4-0, seeing off Aston Villa in the Premier League before dispatching Tromso in the Conference League.
Leeds are bidding to make it three wins from three on the road this season under Daniel Farke — they only triumphed in three of 23 away matches last term.
The latest Brighton vs Leeds odds are available on LiveScore Bet
Prediction
Brighton's home record against Leeds is imperious, but the visitors look an improved outfit this term and after winning at Forest in both league and cup, they can avoid defeat at The Amex.
Contrary to Brighton's two Premier League games so far this season — that have featured a total of 11 goals — this match could be low scoring.
All three of Leeds' fixtures have gone under 2.5 goals and their two road wins at Forest were both accompanied by clean sheets.
It is also worth noting that only two of the last 10 meetings between this pair have seen three or more goals scored.
To complete the bet builder, it could be worth siding with Brighton midfielder Diego Gomez to register a shot on target.
The Paraguayan has had more shots (eight) and efforts on target (three) than any other Brighton player in the Premier League this season and he can test the reflexes of Leeds goalkeeper James Trafford this weekend.
Score prediction: Brighton 1-1 Leeds
