Is the title race already over as supercomputer makes Arsenal vs Man City prediction?
Arsenal went into the second international break in perhaps their strongest position of the season. The Gunners beat Hull City 1-0 last weekend, extending a run of five straight Premier League wins. They now sit five points clear of Brighton in second place, and six points clear of Manchester City.
Looking ahead, the Gunners will have a tough run of fixtures after they return from the break, with Newcastle, Man City, Brentford and Tottenham in their next four games. However, they've already broken out a lead in the title race, so they'll be confident that they can comfortably beat anyone they come up against.
Furthermore, Manchester City's strong start to the season has been derailed, as Enzo Maresca's side have won just one in their last four games, losing to Aston Villa, Brighton and Nottingham Forest in their last three.
Brighton are now Arsenal's biggest title challengers as things stand, as the Seagulls have won six of their last seven matches, and are the only team to beat Mikel Arteta's side in the Premier League this season.
Supercomputer predicts Arsenal to storm the PL title race
Despite the emergence of Brighton, and the fact that Man City had a very strong start to the season, the title race may already be in it's flailing days. According to the Opta Supercomputer, Arsenal have a 76.29% chance to win the Premier League title this season, with their biggest rivals being Man City at 10.77%.
| Team | Predicted points | % chance to win the PL title |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - Arsenal | 82.50 | 76.29% |
| 2 - Manchester City | 69.73 | 10.77% |
| 3 - Brighton | 68.55 | 8.51% |
| 4 - Liverpool | 63.67 | 2.40% |
| 5 - Bournemouth | 57.59 | 0.62% |
Based on the supercomputer's most recent simulation, Arsenal are expected to finish on over 82 points, which is fairly consistent with last season, as they finished on 85. However, it is Man City that are predicted a massive drop off, as compared to last season's 78 points, they're expected to only muster just under 70 points.
City have even seen a huge drop-off from just a month ago, as the supercomputer had them winning the league title on 78 points, with Arsenal on 77...what a difference a month makes in the Premier League.
Further down the table, Brighton are expected to finish third, and Liverpool fourth, and, perhaps surprisingly, Bournemouth are expected to beat out the likes of Chelsea, Aston Villa, and Spurs to fifth spot, and a potential Champions League campaign next season.
The biggest takeaway from this latest simulation is that we may genuinely not have a title race this season. After several years of close battles with Man City and Liverpool, it looks like the rest of this season could be relatively stress-free for Arteta in the Premier League.
