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La Liga hat-trick: can Mourinho kill Barcelona's dream?

La Liga hat-trick: can Mourinho kill Barcelona's dream?

Mohamed Mansi
GOAL
Mohamed Mansi

Barcelona have started the 2026-2027 season by making a third straight La Liga title look almost inevitable.

Hansi Flick's side won their opening four league games, scoring 17 goals and conceding just two, then swept aside Feyenoord 5-1 in the UEFA Champions League.

Real Madrid have already stumbled. Jose Mourinho's men lost 0-1 to Real Betis in La Liga.

Tribuna devoted a lengthy piece to Real's thinking, reporting that the club turned to Mourinho because they believe Barcelona have built a dominance that someone needs to break.

His particular strengths may be unusually suited to turning the title race into a fiercer, more awkward contest.

Only one man has managed three consecutive La Liga titles in the 21st century: Pep Guardiola. That is the feat Barcelona are chasing. Mourinho, meanwhile, has returned to the club he once led to the title with 100 points, and he has inherited a squad assembled for huge sums. From the outset, he has insisted that winning is non-negotiable.

Will Mourinho's tried-and-tested formula succeed against Barcelona?

The title race is so intriguing for one reason above all: Barcelona have strengthened the team that won the league last season.

Rodri ranks among the most important additions. Barcelona spent around 174 million euros on their summer signings, with Rodri arriving from Manchester City alongside Anthony Gordon, Karim Adeyemi, Gabriel Jesus and others.

For Flick, it is an exceptional luxury. Last season, Barcelona's biggest advantage over Real Madrid was their ability to overwhelm opponents with attacking pressure and a high volume of attacking movements. Now they have added one of the best players in the world at controlling the tempo in midfield.

Rodri is likely to free Pedri to push forward with greater licence, while giving Barcelona another player capable of controlling the rhythm of matches when the team's initial intensity is no longer enough.

The signs are already there. Barcelona's start to the season was the best of the Flick era, and Raphinha began superbly, but more importantly he suddenly became the solution to the striker problem Barcelona were expected to face after the departures of Lewandowski and Ferran Torres.

Raphinha scored 8 goals in his first 5 matches this season, including six in his first four in La Liga. At 19, Yamal has already become one of Barcelona's leaders, his teammates having handed him the responsibility. He has also declared the Champions League his main objective, a sign that Barcelona's ambitions now stretch beyond merely dominating Spain.

Barcelona's biggest potential weakness lies in maintaining this exceptional intensity across a season in which the Champions League has become such a clear priority. This is where Mourinho comes in, for Real Madrid may have to overcome Barcelona by turning the title race into a test of endurance.

Mourinho has already shown he recognises the value of controlling matches rather than merely imposing dominance. In its early stages, his Real Madrid side looks more complex than the usual stereotype about him. Against Malaga, he was happy to let his team rely on counter-attacks rather than insist on possession, yet they created nine dangerous chances and won 4-0.

The Inter Milan match offered the opposite example. Real Madrid again attacked strongly in transition and created nine dangerous chances to Inter's four, but they also let the opponent take 21 shots and had to lean on seven saves from Thibaut Courtois.

Mourinho admitted afterwards that he did not like the chaos. He said he would prefer his team to score five or six goals while holding absolute control. This is the clearest picture of what he is trying to build. He is happy for Real Madrid to punish opponents on the counter, but he does not want those transitions turning into open matches that resemble an exchange of goals.

Against Barcelona, this balance may prove decisive. Real Madrid have the speed to hurt Barcelona on the break, but affording Yamal, Raphinha and Pedri the same freedom would be asking for trouble. Mourinho specifically praised the cohesion of his side and explained how the organisation contributed to Valverde's goal. That may be the most important point about this current Real Madrid.

Real Madrid possess something Barcelona do not have to the same degree

Barcelona's current philosophy is built on overwhelming opponents with pressure, movement and technical superiority. The more Real Madrid succeed in forcing matches into tactical battles rather than open contests, the more Mourinho's experience matters.

History leaves the door open too. Barcelona have dominated the recent Clasico encounters, winning three of the last four league meetings since Flick's arrival. That run includes the 2-0 victory last season, a result that effectively sealed the title and left Real Madrid to end another campaign without trophies.

Mourinho's first major task, then, is to shift the psychological balance between the two sides. The first Clasico lands on 25 October at the Camp Nou. Barcelona carry the greater momentum, but Mourinho will walk out knowing a single victory could rewrite the entire narrative around the title race.

Where Real Madrid hold the edge is in match-winners. They boast several players capable of deciding a game through sheer individual quality. Kylian Mbappe remains a top-class goalscorer. Vinicius Junior can destroy any defence on his own, Jude Bellingham offers another route into the penalty area, and Fede Valverde brings physical power and tactical flexibility. Mourinho must make all that individual talent function as a collective. That is the gamble.

If Barcelona are a polished machine, then Real Madrid under Mourinho remain a project still under construction.

The summer signings tell us exactly what the club wanted to do. Marc Cucurella, Ibrahima Konaté, Denzel Dumfries, Bernardo Silva and Yan Diomande were among the most notable additions, while Endrick and Carlos Espí returned from their respective loan spells.

Real Madrid's final squad contains 26 players, although Mourinho prefers a smaller group of around 22.

That hands him something extremely valuable across a 38-match league season: the luxury of options.

He has built a much stronger base in several important positions. Cucurella is not just another left-back rotating with Mendy. Given Mendy's physical problems, the Spaniard represents a clear upgrade, and Mourinho specifically insisted on signing him. His ability to defend robustly and contribute to possession also gives Real Madrid a more convincing option on the left.

Konaté, meanwhile, is the most interesting gamble. He was by no means perfect during his last season with Liverpool, and his level became a matter of debate, but Mourinho is betting on the physical attributes that made him so effective alongside Virgil van Dijk.

The Frenchman gives Real Madrid a strong centre-back on the right side, with pace in recovery and the ability to defend large spaces, which could be crucial if Mourinho wants to push his full-backs forward. He started 36 matches in the Premier League last season, despite the inconsistency in his level.

Dumfries carries perhaps the greatest attacking potential of the lot. He scored five goals and provided two assists in Serie A and the Champions League last season, but his 2024-2025 campaign was far more productive, with 11 goals and five assists across the two competitions. His arrival gives Mourinho a physically strong player wide, capable of creating danger from the right.

One clear problem remains, though. Real Madrid did not sign Rodri.

This could become one of the decisive details of the season. Barcelona strengthened the very position Real Madrid perhaps most needed to bolster.

Rodri's arrival gives Flick a top-class defensive holding midfielder and an exceptional organiser of possession, while Real Madrid rely on Valverde, Tchouaméni and the rest of their midfield options.

Mourinho may need to compensate tactically, which explains the focus on organisation in Real Madrid's performances during the early part of the season.

Against Inter, he was particularly interested in what happens when his team loses its defensive sharpness. He praised the moments in which Real Madrid maintained their cohesion, and acknowledged that the match became more difficult when the team stopped controlling the spaces.

Here lies the biggest point of intersection between Mourinho and Flick. While Flick wants Barcelona to play with strength and ferocity, Mourinho wants Real Madrid to determine when that ferocity is necessary.

The latter approach can be highly effective across a title race, and it may also protect Real Madrid from their own attacking stars.

One obvious question hangs over Mourinho's team: how can he make Mbappé, Vinícius and Bellingham coexist without sacrificing defensive balance?

Mourinho has already begun to protect his stars publicly. He defended Vinícius and Mbappé, insisting that players who score goals and work for the team should not automatically be turned into scapegoats when the level of performance declines.

Early warnings for Mourinho

Real Madrid began the Spanish league with three victories before losing to Betis. They beat Espanyol 2-1, Real Sociedad 4-1, and Malaga 4-0, scoring ten goals in their first four league matches against three conceded.

Against Betis, Real Madrid created enough chances to win but failed to take them. Mbappé struck the crossbar, then missed a stoppage-time penalty, and Troy Parrott scored for Betis. Mourinho insisted afterwards that his side had produced a good collective performance, while acknowledging that deserving to win does not guarantee the points.

This is precisely the type of match Real Madrid cannot afford to repeat too often. Barcelona have already shown what ruthless efficiency looks like.

The Catalans thrashed Elche 5-0, beat Athletic Bilbao 2-0, saw off Rayo Vallecano 5-2, then swept aside Valencia 5-0. Their first four league matches produced 17 goals scored and only two conceded.

Real Madrid, then, cannot simply lean on Mourinho's football as a defensive cover. They need to become sharper in front of goal, which is why the win over Inter Milan in the Champions League mattered, despite the defensive concerns. Mourinho's side found a way to win a chaotic match against a strong opponent.

Mourinho's own verdict, that Real Madrid were capable of scoring five or six goals but equally capable of conceding five or six, laid bare both the team's attacking ceiling and its defensive weaknesses.

Reduce that second number without lowering the first, and Barcelona will face a genuine title rival. Fail, and Barcelona may once again settle for simply scoring more goals than them.

Back-to-back-to-back title wins are now within Barcelona's reach, but October could change everything.

The strongest argument against Mourinho's ability to stop Barcelona is a simple one: Barcelona look the better side right now.

They have won all their league matches and scored 17 goals. Flick now has two years of institutional experience with this group. Most importantly, Barcelona have already proven they can win the league under him.

Four points was the margin in 2024-2025. Eight points followed in 2025-2026. Across both campaigns, they also outscored Real Madrid by wide goal margins.

History makes the challenge greater. Barcelona would become the first Spanish club to win the league in three consecutive seasons since Pep Guardiola's side between 2008 and 2011.

That hands Flick a chance to place his name alongside one of the most dominant coaching spells Spanish football has ever seen. Yet there are reasons to believe the race could tighten considerably.

Start with Barcelona's attacking transformation. The team faces a significant void following the departure of two guaranteed sources of goals, Robert Lewandowski and Ferran Torres.

Gabriel Jesus is the most obvious replacement, but his recent figures guarantee nothing close to a prolific season. He scored only three goals in the Premier League and provided no assists with Arsenal last term, adding two in the Champions League, having only returned from a serious knee injury in December.

All of which leaves Flick leaning more heavily on Yamal, Raphinha and his new attacking options. Get the 40 goals between them, and Barcelona become harder to predict. Fail, and Mourinho will have a clear weakness to target.

Jesus has already scored his first Barcelona goal against Feyenoord, an encouraging start. But replacing the output of players used to scoring across 38 league matches is an entirely different challenge.

Flick must now also manage a group of players built not only to win La Liga, but to finally win the Champions League.

Yamal has made the European competition his main objective after Barcelona's recent failures in it. Flick's side lost to Inter in last season's semi-final, having already suffered another painful European exit before that.

Herein lies Mourinho's opportunity. Force Barcelona to prioritise Europe, and Real Madrid can make every domestic match exhausting, dragging their rivals into extra effort. That sometimes means winning ugly and dropping fewer points against smaller teams.

It also means turning away matches into tactical traps. Above all, it means ensuring the October Clasico is not treated as just another game.

Barcelona host it at the Camp Nou on 25 October, days after both teams play Champions League fixtures. Barcelona face Paris Saint-Germain on 20 October, while Real Madrid play Leipzig on 21 October.

Nobody understands better than Mourinho that the Clasico is often decided by finding an opponent's physical and psychological weak points. Barcelona's high-intensity style gives him something to aim at.

To stop Barcelona, Mourinho must identify the individual duels he can win, and whether winning those duels can disrupt Barcelona's attacking system.

Start with Yamal versus Cucurella. It might be obvious, but Cucurella handed Yamal one of his most troublesome nights in Chelsea's 3-0 Champions League win over Barcelona, repeatedly steering him onto his weaker right foot while protecting the inside space.

Rather than lunge in, Cucurella waited for Yamal to move, using the cover behind him to stop the winger shifting onto his left foot. That may be the model Mourinho leans on.

Raphinha comes next, and he perhaps poses the biggest problem. He has scored seven goals in the last five Clasicos, including two in Barcelona's 3-2 Spanish Super Cup win over Real Madrid. More importantly, his role has evolved.

Flick pushes him into areas closer to goal and lets him drift into central positions, which means a traditional duel between the right-back and the left winger may not exist at all.

Mourinho must decide whether Konate follows Raphinha when he drops into midfield, or leaves him to one of the midfielders. This small call may determine whether Barcelona create a numerical advantage around the box.

Another intriguing battle looms in midfield, between Pedri and Bernardo Silva. Real Madrid simply cannot let Pedri dictate the rhythm between the lines, yet marking him tightly may open up the very spaces Barcelona want.

Bernardo's value may lie in making it a two-way fight. Can Real Madrid's new man disrupt Pedri's rhythm without drifting too far from the spaces Barcelona want to attack?

Watch, too, what happens when Barcelona's high line meets the pace of Mbappe and Vinicius. In the previous Clasico, Real Madrid's disciplined man-marking and intelligent pressing forced Barcelona into 37 losses of possession in their defensive third. Mbappe repeatedly attacked the spaces that opened up when Barcelona's defensive line lost its cohesion.

Turning El Clasico into a series of tactical problems

Here lies Mourinho's real opportunity: turning the Clasico into a series of specific tactical problems that Barcelona cannot solve all at once.

Real Madrid have the individual quality to punish Barcelona when those moments come.

So can they end Barcelona's dominance? For now, Barcelona deserve to be strong favourites. Their level is higher and their squad looks more balanced, while Real Madrid have already dropped points and are still searching for a new tactical identity.

Title races, though, can be swung by a coach who knows how to turn football into a psychological battle, and the evidence already points to Jose building exactly that kind of environment.

Rather than fuel the criticism aimed at his stars, he has defended them and preached unity in the dressing room. More importantly, he looks ready to pick on performance and energy instead of fielding the big names every week. For that very reason, a third straight Barcelona title is not yet a done deal.

The decisive question may be whether Mourinho can reach 25 October without falling too far behind. Manage that, and the first Clasico at the Camp Nou could turn this race from a coronation for Barcelona into a genuine title fight.

His biggest challenge is moulding a formidable but sometimes chaotic collection of talent into a team that can control the matches Barcelona want to drag into chaos. Win at the Camp Nou on 25 October, and the entire conversation changes.

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La Liga hat-trick: can Mourinho kill Barcelona's dream?