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Hull vs Millwall predictions: Goals likely in tense tussle

Published:
authorDaniel Hill
Alex Neil's Millwall are in the promotion mix in the Championship
Alex Neil's Millwall are in the promotion mix in the Championship
  • Millwall have scored in their last five away matches

  • Hull have won only one of their last five home matches

  • Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals

Just two points separate Millwall and Hull in fourth and fifth place in the Championship and the promotion-chasing pair have identical goal differences, so Saturday's encounter looks sure to be a close one.

The Tigers put a poor run of results behind them with back-to-back victories against Portsmouth and Derby, but they were beaten 1-0 away at third-placed Ipswich on Tuesday evening.

The Lions are not shy in front of goal on the road and travel to the MKM Stadium after keeping clean sheets when beating both Birmingham and Preston.

The south Londoners have a poor record against the Tigers, however, it has been nearly four years since they managed a win against them.

The latest Hull vs Millwall odds are available on LiveScore Bet

Team news

Hull remain without forward Mohamed Belloumi (torn thigh muscle).

Midfielder Eliot Matazo is approaching full fitness after a year out following anterior cruciate knee ligament damage, but is unlikely to figure here.

Millwall's Republic of Ireland international Will Smallborne remains an absentee, while Joe Bryan, Dan Kelly, Massimo Luongo, Lukas Jensen and Caleb Taylor were all absent for the 2-0 win against Preston on Saturday.

The stats

Hull are unbeaten against Millwall in their last seven encounters.

The Tigers have conceded 12 goals in their last four home matches, while Millwall have found the net in all of their last 11 matches.

The Lions have won four of their last five matches and have not gone into half-time behind in any of their last 13 matches in the Championship.

Hull have conceded an average of 1.6 goals at home in all matches this season.

The latest Hull vs Millwall odds are available on LiveScore Bet

Prediction

Matches at the MKM Stadium have been anything but dull affairs and the arrival of free-scoring Millwall is likely to make for an exciting match.

It is difficult to split these promotion-chasing rivals and, although Hull's defence has been leaky, they produced a stoic performance at the back against classy Ipswich on Tuesday.

They frustrated the home team until the deadlock was broken in the 71st minute, so perhaps manager Sergej Jakirovic is beginning to solve the defensive frailties.

Millwall registered their third consecutive win on the road against Preston last Saturday, but Hull will prove tougher opposition and it is slightly worrying that you have to go back to April 2022 for the last time the Londoners registered a win over the Tigers.

It is tough to split the pair and a high-scoring draw is a possibility, but the wisest strategy from a betting perspective is to go for over 2.5 goals, particularly in light of the fact Hull seem incapable of keeping a clean sheet in front of their own fans.

Back over 2.5 goals at 41/50 with LiveScore Bet

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Hull vs Millwall predictions: Goals likely in tense tussle