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Derby vs QPR predictions: Defences to be on top at Pride Park

Published:
Tom McGarryTom McGarry
John Eustace's Derby recorded an overdue home victory during the week
John Eustace's Derby recorded an overdue home victory during the week
  • Derby's last five home matches have featured just eight goals

  • Since conceding seven at Coventry, QPR have let in just six goals in eight games

  • Recommended bet: Under 1.5 goals

Derby claimed their first home win of the season during the week and they will hope to make it two victories in the space of four days at Pride Park when they play host to an in-form QPR on Saturday.

The pressure was on Rams boss John Eustace ahead of Tuesday's clash with fellow strugglers Norwich, as they had won just once all season and were without a home success since April.

However, David Ozoh's strike early in the second half was enough to seal a narrow 1-0 victory.

Eustace will hope his side can follow up this weekend, but QPR are one of the form teams in the division, losing just once in eight games since an early-season 7-1 capitulation at Coventry.

The latest Derby vs QPR odds are available on LiveScore Bet

Team news

Derby will be forced into at least one change for this game, with the combative Ebou Adams set to miss out after picking up his fifth yellow card of the season against Norwich.

With fellow midfielder Lewis Travis sidelined through injury, Eustace could opt for a formation change, and Bobby Clark and Sondre Langas are among those pushing for starts.

QPR head coach Julien Stephan may opt to freshen things up following Wednesday's 1-0 win at Swansea, with Ilias Chair, Karamoko Dembele and Jonathan Varane potentially returning to the starting XI.

One man who looks set to miss out is defender Jake Clarke-Salter, who had been closing in on a return from the hip injury he sustained in January.

However, he has picked up a knock in a development game and his comeback appears to be on hold.

The stats

Derby's midweek win over Norwich ended a run of eight home matches without a victory stretching back to a 2-0 success over Preston at the start of April.

Each of the Rams' last seven games have gone under the 2.5 goal mark and four of those have featured no more than a solitary strike.

QPR have won five of their last seven meetings with Derby, most recently claiming a 4-0 success at Loftus Road in February.

Since losing 7-1 at Coventry in August, the R's have won five and lost only one of their subsequent eight games, while they have the joint second-best defensive record in the division over that time.

QPR have won six of their last nine away matches in the Championship and have taken 10 points from their four most recent road trips.

Under 2.5 goals would have been a winning bet in four of QPR's last six games.

The latest Derby vs QPR odds are available on LiveScore Bet

Prediction

Both these sides enjoyed narrow 1-0 victories during the week and another low-scoring contest is expected when they meet at Pride Park.

Derby's last seven games have all featured no more than two goals, with four of those games, including their last two, ending 1-0.

QPR's last six matches have featured a pair of 1-0 wins against Stoke and Swansea as well as a goalless draw with Oxford, with Stephan having tightened things up considerably since they shipped seven at league leaders Coventry.

The R's' new-found defensive resolve, coupled with Derby's matches tending to be low scoring, indicates this may not be a classic encounter, with a maximum of one goal either way likely to be enough to separate the two sides.

Back under 1.5 goals at 21/10 with LiveScore Bet

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Derby vs QPR predictions: Defences to be on top at Pride Park

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