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Wales vs Norway predictions: Free-scoring visitors set for victory in Cardiff

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James MiltonJames Milton
Captain Martin Odegaard is Norway's main creative force
Captain Martin Odegaard is Norway's main creative force

Wales won promotion from the Nations League second tier in November 2024 but Craig Bellamy's men are struggling with the step up in class.

They lost 1-0 to Portugal and 2-0 to Denmark in their first two Group A4 matches and face another daunting challenge in Thursday's home fixture against Norway.

Stale Solbakken's side suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Portugal on Sunday but they impressed at the World Cup, eliminating Brazil in the last 16 and taking England to extra time in the quarter-finals.

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Team news

Wales made six changes to their line-up for Sunday's defeat in Denmark.

Liverpool midfielder Lewis Koumas is among the players pushing for a start against Norway, but goalkeeper Karl Darlow and forwards Harry Wilson and Nathan Broadhead are injured. 

Norway will assess Martin Odegaard, who suffered an ankle knock late in their loss to Portugal.

Atletico Madrid striker Alexander Sorloth is sidelined for the first four Nations League fixtures.

The stats

Wales have won only two of their last 11 matches.

Wales' last three home fixtures all ended 1-1.

Bellamy's men had only four shots on target in their defeats to Portugal and Denmark.

Both teams have scored in 14 of Norway's last 15 games.

Norway captain Odegaard has claimed 13 assists in his last 13 international appearances.

Erling Haaland has scored 22 goals in 18 Nations League games

The latest Wales vs Norway odds are available on LiveScore Bet

Prediction

Wales were outclassed by Portugal and Denmark in their first two Nations League matches and it could be a similar story against Norway this week.

The Welsh have home advantage on Thursday but their last competitive fixture in Cardiff ended in a penalty-shootout defeat to Bosnia in March's World Cup play-off semi-final.

Wilson, who scored a hat-trick in November's 7-1 qualifying rout of North Macedonia, is a significant injury absentee and Norway's forwards can fire them to victory.

Haaland scored twice in the 3-2 home win over Denmark on matchday one and the Manchester City striker was also on target in Sunday's 2-1 loss to Portugal.

Captain Odegaard created two of Norway's goals against the Danes and is hopeful of recovering from the ankle knock he suffered late in the Portugal defeat.

If Odegaard is passed fit, then he should pose a massive threat to the Wales defence, having scored four goals in his first eight appearances for Arsenal this season.

Wales boss Bellamy will want more attacking intent from his side at home and left-back Neco Williams is worth backing to have a shot on target.

Williams is a key part of Nottingham Forest's attacking game plan, racking up 19 shots on target in last season's Premier League, and he averages 1.2 shots per 90 minutes for Forest this term.

Score Prediction: Wales 0-2 Norway

Back Norway to win, Martin Odegaard to score or assist & Neco Williams 1+ shot on target, available @ 11/1 with LiveScore Bet

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Wales vs Norway predictions: Free-scoring visitors set for victory in Cardiff