England have won just one of their last six matches against Uruguay
Uruguay have drawn four of their last six away fixtures
England have four matches to complete before commencing their 2026 World Cup challenge, starting with an intriguing clash against Uruguay at Wembley Stadium.
Qualification was a breeze for Thomas Tuchel’s side, who won all eight Group K matches without conceding any goals.
But it also left a few unanswered questions due to the apparent poor standard of opposition.
Facing Uruguay looks a sensible call because it allows Tuchel to assess his team against a genuinely strong opponent.
Uruguay have featured at each of the last four World Cups, reaching the semi-finals in 2010 and the quarter-finals in 2018.
They suffered a surprise group-stage exit at Qatar 2022 but will be targeting a stronger showing under their vastly experienced manager, Marcelo Bielsa, who steered them to a third-place finish at the 2024 Copa America.
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Team news
Tuchel has selected a 35-man squad but has confirmed that 12 of those players will not be involved against Uruguay due to their gruelling domestic schedules.
Dean Henderson, Dan Burn, Marc Guehi, Ezri Konsa, Nico O’Reilly, Eliott Anderson, Declan Rice, Morgan Rogers, Anthony Gordon, Harry Kane, Bukayo Saka and Jude Bellingham will be given the night off, so there could be opportunities for others to press their claims for a place in the 2026 World Cup squad. Harry Maguire has been recalled and could make his first international appearance since 2024.
Uruguay’s squad is packed with experience but there are a couple of key omissions with midfielders Rodrigo Bentancur (thigh) and Nahitan Nandez (illness) missing out.
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The stats
England have kept clean sheets in 11 of their last 12 fixtures.
The Three Lions have opened the scoring in each of their last 13 games.
Eight of Uruguay's last 11 games have featured fewer than three goals.
The last nine matches between England and Uruguay have each generated fewer than four goals.
Uruguay have kept clean sheets in three of their last five away fixtures.
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Prediction
Several key England players will not be involved in the Three Lions’ opening match of 2026 and that could create an opportunity for Uruguay, who can compete on even terms and emerge with a draw.
Tuchel’s selection process is perhaps understandable, given the heavy workload of senior players.
But mass changes are likely to contribute to a lowering of standards and risk a poor result against one of South America’s top international teams.
Uruguay head coach Bielsa will be wrestling with similar issues with regards to player fatigue.
But the former Leeds boss will be keen to oversee a strong performance on his return to English soil and that could mean disappointment for home supporters, who may witness an end to England’s six-game winning sequence.
Back the draw at 29/10 with LiveScore Bet
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