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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa predictions: Villa's winning habit gives them the edge

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James MiltonJames Milton
Aston Villa keep improving under Unai Emery and face Crystal Palace on Wednesday
Aston Villa keep improving under Unai Emery and face Crystal Palace on Wednesday
  • Crystal Palace manager Oliver Glasner has been mentioned as a possible successor to Ruben Amorim at Manchester United

  • Aston Villa bounced back from last week's 4-1 defeat at Arsenal by beating Nottingham Forest 3-1 on Saturday

  • Recommended bet: Aston Villa to win

Aston Villa's 11-game winning streak ended in comprehensive fashion last week as they crumbled to a 4-1 defeat at Premier League leaders Arsenal.

However, Unai Emery will have been delighted with his side's response in Saturday's 3-1 home win over Nottingham Forest and Villa start the week level on points with second-placed Manchester City.

Crystal Palace have had a far less enjoyable festive period and their 2-0 defeat at Newcastle made it four losses in their last five league games.

New signing Brennan Johnson made his debut at St James' Park and the Wales winger is hoping to inspire the Eagles on his first home appearance since arriving from Tottenham.

The latest Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa odds are available on LiveScore Bet

Team news

Crystal Palace will assess the fitness of Chris Richards, Eddie Nketiah and Jefferson Lerma.

Ismaila Sarr is at the Africa Cup of Nations and Daniel Munoz, Daichi Kamada, Cheick Doucoure, Rio Cardines, Chadi Riad and Caleb Kporha are injured.

Aston Villa's Evann Guessand is away at AFCON and the visitors are likely to be missing Pau Torres, Tyrone Mings, Amadou Onana and Ross Barkley.

The stats

  • Crystal Palace are winless in their last seven games in all competitions

  • Palace have won only two of their 10 Premier League home fixtures this season

  • Only one of the Eagles' 10 home league matches featured over 3.5 goals

  • Aston Villa have won 18 of their last 21 matches in all competitions

  • Both teams have scored in nine of Villa's last 10 league and cup wins

  • Ollie Watkins has found the net six times in his last seven Premier League appearances

The latest Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa odds are available on LiveScore Bet

Prediction

The expected-goals data suggests there is not much to choose between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa but the Eagles trail their visitors by 15 points after 20 Premier League matches.

Villa have had to dig deep during their stunning sequence of 18 wins in 21 games in all competitions, producing several stirring comebacks and some brilliant goals.

Morgan Rogers has been at the heart of their resurgence but striker Ollie Watkins continued his improving form with the opener against Nottingham Forest before John McGinn scored twice to wrap up a 3-1 win.

Palace, in contrast, are short of in-form attackers. Striker Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored only once in his last nine games and the influential Sarr is at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Wing-back Daniel Munoz's injury is also hampering the Eagles, who look weary after a gruelling run of fixtures in the Premier League, Conference League and EFL Cup.

They have done most of their best work away from home, including a dazzling 3-0 victory at Villa Park at the end of August.

But that was during Villa's woeful start to the season and they look a very different team now, especially with first-choice midfielders Youri Tielemans and Boubacar Kamara reunited in the engine room.

Palace have won only two of their 10 home matches in the league, losing to nil against Manchester City and out-of-form Tottenham at Selhurst Park last month.

Villa must be relieved not to be facing Senegal winger Sarr, who has scored six goals in the last four meetings between these clubs, and they can bolster their top-four status with yet another victory.

Back Aston Villa to win, available at 13/10 with LiveScore Bet

The latest Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa odds are available on LiveScore Bet

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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa predictions: Villa's winning habit gives them the edge

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