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Birmingham vs Leeds predictions: Blues can claim Premier League scalp

Published:
Daniel ChildsDaniel Childs
Chris Davies and Birmingham have their eyes on an FA Cup upset at St Andrew's
Chris Davies and Birmingham have their eyes on an FA Cup upset at St Andrew's
  • Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 11 home games

  • Leeds have won just one of their last 11 away fixtures

  • Recommended bet: Birmingham to qualify

Birmingham are planning towards a Premier League future and they have the chance to pit their wits against top flight opposition when taking on Leeds in a highly-charged FA Cup tie.

The Blues were handed a similarly enticing draw at home to Newcastle in last season’s FA Cup fourth round and gave a good account of themselves in a 3-2 loss.

Chris Davies’ side will be hoping for another strong performance and a more positive outcome against Leeds, who achieved their solitary FA Cup success back in 1972.

Leeds will be keen to take their fans on another FA Cup journey, although they have a Premier League survival scrap on their minds as they battle to consolidate at the higher level.

The Yorkshire giants are six points clear of the drop zone after coming from two goals behind in Tuesday’s 2-2 draw at Chelsea.

Team news

Phil Neumann shook off a minor muscle strain to feature in Tuesday's 0-0 draw at home to West Brom.

However, Paik Seung-Ho (hamstring) lasted just 15 minutes of the midweek match and has joined Alex Cochrane (ankle), Jack Robinson and Ethan Laird (both hamstring) in the treatment room.

Demarai Gray (calf) came off the bench against the Baggies and could be pushing for his first start of 2026.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (illness) was a key absentee for the midweek match at Chelsea but has every chance of returning to contention.

Anton Stach (groin) and Pascal Struijk (hip) are unlikely to be involved and there could be several changes with Facundo Buonanotte, Noah Okafor, Dan James, Joel Piroe, Wilfried Gnonto and Ao Tanaka among the players under consideration for recalls for the Whites.

The latest Birmingham vs Leeds odds are available on LiveScore Bet

The stats

Birmingham have started the scoring in four of their last five home fixtures.

The Blues are on an eight-match unbeaten sequence.

Birmingham have scored in 13 of their last 14 home fixtures.

Both teams have scored in six of Leeds' last eight matches.

Leeds have kept just two clean sheets in their last 24 matches.

Prediction

Birmingham fell on the wrong side of fine margins in last season’s FA Cup fourth round tie at home to Newcastle, but they have made further improvements over the last 12 months and look overpriced to come through this assignment with Leeds.

The Blues are pushing to get themselves into the Championship play-off places but they will not want to waste an opportunity to show their quality against top flight opposition.

There should be plenty of intensity and quality from the home side and that may be enough to unsettle Daniel Farke’s Leeds, who are not used to winning games on their travels.

Leeds were 3-1 victors at Derby in the previous round, but they face a trickier challenge this weekend and may struggle to avoid elimination.

Back Birmingham to qualify at 29/20 with LiveScore Bet

The latest Birmingham vs Leeds odds are available on LiveScore Bet

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Birmingham vs Leeds predictions: Blues can claim Premier League scalp

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