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Luton vs Sheffield United predictions: Blades can keep a lid on Hatters’ scoring
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Simon Barlow
Following an excellent start to 2024 manager Rob Edwards has Luton fans dreaming of Premier League survival
Following an excellent start to 2024 manager Rob Edwards has Luton fans dreaming of Premier League survival

- Fewer than four goals have been scored in seven of Sheffield United’s 11 away games
- Luton have scored under three goals in nine of 11 home games
- Recommended Bet: Back Luton to win and Under 3.5 goals

Luton will look to pull further clear of the relegation zone when they entertain rock-bottom Sheffield United at Kenilworth Road on Saturday afternoon.

The fortunes of these two clubs that earned promotion last May continue to move in opposite directions with the Hatters having collected more points in their last six Premier League games than the Blades have all season.

A second four-goal blast in a matter of days ensured Luton stayed out of the bottom three with a 4-4 draw at Newcastle last Saturday.

Meanwhile, Chris Wilder challenged his players to stick their hands up and accept responsibility for their 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Aston Villa last weekend as he demanded a reaction.

Team news

Oli McBurnie could be back in contention for the Blades at Kenilworth Road following injury
Oli McBurnie could be back in contention for the Blades at Kenilworth Road following injury

Rob Edwards could roll out the same starting XI that put Luton 4-2 up at St. James’ Park before tiredness set in and the Magpies staged a fightback.

Teden Mengi came back in for Reece Burke in defence as the only change from the previous midweek’s 4-0 home win over Brighton.

Danish defender Mads Andersen could potentially be back from a calf problem in time to feature, leaving Marvelous Nakamba (knee) and Tom Lockyer (cardiac issue) as the only unavailable squad members.

As for the Blades, Wilder will recall goalkeeper Ivo Grbic if the Croatian has recovered from a suspected concussion that forced him off midway through the Blades’ 3-2 defeat to Crystal Palace last week.

Oli McBurnie could also be back from the calf niggle which kept him out of the Aston Villa defeat, but John Egan (ankle), Chris Basham (ankle), George Baldock (unspecified) and Daniel Jebbison (illness) are still likely to be out.

Gustavo Hamer, Cameron Archer, Jack Robinson and the fit-again Tom Davies are all pushing for recalls after coming off the bench at Bramall Lane last week.

The stats

Luton have taken more Premier League points than Arsenal since the pre-Christmas weekend of December 22-24.

In total, around eight per-cent of the Hatters’ passes this season have been sent into the opponent's box — the only team with a higher proportion are Everton.

Elijah Adebayo, who has nine league goals this season, currently boasts the best shot conversion rate of any player to take 10 or more shots in the Premier League this season.

Sheffield United have conceded 59 goals in their 23 Premier League games this season, the most of any side at this stage of an English top-flight campaign since Fulham in 1965-66.

No team that has had as few as 10 points at this stage of the season has ever avoided relegation.


This is the first time that Luton have been odds-on to win a Premier League game this season.

The shortening of their price could be an overreaction to the Blades’ brittle display at home to Villa.

It was the fourth time the team had gone down by five goals or more this season, but on each previous occasion they produced a grittier display next time out.

The basement club lost 2-0 at West Ham six days after their 8-0 thrashing by Newcastle in September, beat Wolves 2-1 a week after losing 5-0 at Arsenal and, days after going down 5-0 to Burnley, were within a goal of Liverpool until stoppage time.

Although they may not lack character in such moments what has become clear is that Sheffield United lack the quality to win sufficient games in the top flight.

Luton should hand them a third straight away defeat, but the odds on the game featuring fewer than four strikes is tempting given eight of the Hatters’ previous 11 home games have not seen a fourth goal scored.

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Premier LeagueLuton TownSheffield United
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