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European Rugby Champions Cup final predictions - Leinster vs Toulouse: Dubliners to get the job done
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Jack Ogalbe
Leo Cullen is looking to lead Leinster to European glory
Leo Cullen is looking to lead Leinster to European glory

- Leinster have lost the last two finals
- The Irish team have won the last four meetings
- Recommended bet:
Leinster -4.5

The Champions Cup will be decided on Saturday as Leinster take on Toulouse at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Leinster have won the competition four times, one fewer than Toulouse. They have lost the last two finals but have had the edge over Stade in recent meetings and Saturday could finally be the day they add that elusive record-equalling fifth star above their badge.

Team news

Both teams have chopped and changed for their domestic fixtures over the last fortnight to prioritise this competition.

Leinster have a relatively clean bill of health and Leo Cullen and Jacques Nienaber could select the fit-again James Ryan in the second row, while Jimmy O'Brien is a contender to start ahead of Jordan Larmour on the wing. 

However, the game looks too soon for centre Garry Ringrose, who has been absent since the Six Nations due to a shoulder injury and his replacement, Jamie Osborne, has excelled in deputising alongside Robbie Henshaw.

Toulouse centre Santiago Chocobares is back available following a ban but is unlikely to start due to the form of Pita Ahki and Paul Costes. 

Ugo Mola does have a call to make out wide, though, with Romain Ntamack expected to start at fly-half, meaning Thomas Ramos could be on the bench and Blair Kinghorn at full-back.

However, Mola may calculate that Ramos' goal-kicking makes him too important to leave out and Kinghorn could shift to the wing to accommodate the Frenchman at 15.

The stats

Toulouse have won this tournament a record five times, while Leinster have triumphed on four occasions. Saturday will be both clubs' eighth final appearance.

Both teams have won seven out of seven games in this season's Champions Cup.

Leinster have lost the last two finals (2022 and 2023) to La Rochelle, while Toulouse beat the same opponents in 2021.

The Dubliners have won the last four meetings, including in the knockout rounds in each of the last two years. 


Ugo Mola's Toulouse are blessed with talent throughout their squad
Ugo Mola's Toulouse are blessed with talent throughout their squad

Leinster and Toulouse have proved they are the best two teams in Europe this season and it is a fitting final.

Cullen and Nienaber's side have fantastic individuals and are the best-coached team in the gamey, and the way they collectively execute their plans across the field is unmatched in the club game.

Toulouse also have strong systems in place but can rely more on the individual brilliance of Ntamack, Ramos, Kinghorn and arguably the best player on the planet, scrum-half Antoine Dupont.

Les Rouge et Noir also have exiled England flanker Jack Willis alongside French international Francois Cros, who could cause havoc at the breakdown.

They can cut loose from anywhere but Leinster arguably have a stronger pack and they can set the platform for those behind to avenge the defeats to La Rochelle.

The Dubliners lost to La Rochelle by three points in 2022 and one in 2023, but beat the same opponents in the pool stages and quarter-finals and can make amends in London.

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