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Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic predictions: Tiebreak punt offers value in semi-final
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Adrian Humphries
Novak Djokovic faces a tricky semi-final test against Lorenzo Musetti
Novak Djokovic faces a tricky semi-final test against Lorenzo Musetti

- Lorenzo Musetti has not recorded a straight-sets victory at Wimbledon this year
- Novak Djokovic has dropped a set in half of his outings at SW19 this year
- Recommended bet:
Over 0.5 tiebreaks

The betting suggests that the Wimbledon semi-final between Lorenzo Musetti and Novak Djokovic may not last long, but it is possible that the clash may last slightly longer and be more competitive than the prices might suggest.

Djokovic is a warm favourite to progress to the final after losing only one match at Wimbledon since 2017 — that being the final of last year's men's singles against Carlos Alcaraz.

However, while the seven-time All England Club champion looks to be playing some of his best tennis this year, time is against the 37-year-old Serbian and his young opponent, 22-year-old Italian Musetti, has been showing he is no respecter of reputations on court.

The stats

Djokovic leads Musetti 5-1 in their personal series, but while the best player the sport has ever seen has unsurprisingly held sway over his less-experienced opponent on hard courts, on clay it has been close between the pair.

Musetti has even beaten Djokovic, in the Monte Carlo Masters last year, while he has twice taken the great man to five sets in the French Open. Those Paris efforts have to go down as terrific.

This will be their first match on grass and it is fascinating to see who will be suited more by the conditions. It is obviously no secret that Djokovic likes the terrain — Wimbledon is his second favourite Grand Slam tournament after the Australian Open.


With the chance that Musetti may afford more problems for Djokovic than the markets believe, it may be worth having an interest on the second semi-final featuring at least one tiebreak.

The encouraging thing for anyone who gets involved in such a bet is that with Djokovic possibly not the force he once was and Musetti a superior performer than some observers think, the clash could be closer than many reckon and that could mean the possibility of tiebreaks in any of them.

Admittedly, Djokovic made light work of former world number four Holger Rune in his last singles start — the second seed received a quarter-final bye when his scheduled opponent Alex de Minaur withdrew due to injury — but Rune seems to be struggling with his game himself, so it may pay not to overrate Djokovic's win over the Dane.

Musetti's quality has been shining through. He performed wonders to fight back against Taylor Fritz in the last eight, although the American looked a little fatigued after going to Wimbledon directly after taking the title in Eastbourne in the week immediately preceding the third Grand Slam tournament of the season.

But four of Musetti’s five singles matches at Wimbledon this year have yielded at least one tiebreak, so take a chance on that stat becoming five out of six.

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