Premier League value acca predictions: City and Arsenal wins part of weekend treble
This weekend's big-priced Premier League treble features a Manchester City win to zero against a Liverpool side who struggle on the road, while we also fancy another thrilling home win for Arsenal against Leeds and Chelsea to find their shooting boots against Aston Villa.
This treble would return £240.97 from a £10 stake at odds of just over 23/1.
Manchester City have accrued the most points per home game in the Premier League this season, taking 34 points from 13 matches at the Etihad Stadium and have already beaten Manchester United 6-3, Tottenham 4-2 and Newcastle 2-0 at home.
With Phil Foden unavailable and top goalscorer Erling Haaland an injury doubt, City may not cut loose in their usual style this weekend, but they will still be confident of getting the job done against out-of-form Liverpool.
The Reds have long struggled at the Etihad, winning on only one of their last 13 league visits, and have been poor on the road all season, collecting fewer away points than Southampton, Leicester and Aston Villa.
A lack of goals has been a particular problem for Jurgen Klopp’s men away from home, with the Reds failing to score in four of their last five away games, including in defeats to Wolves and Bournemouth.
While Leeds might not be as gung-ho under Javi Gracia as they were under Jesse Marsch and Marcelo Bielsa, the Whites remain a team built to play on the front foot.
That could be their undoing against the electric attacking force welcoming them in north London, but if Leeds are to go down against Arsenal then it is likely they will go down fighting after netting six goals in their last two matches.
The Gunners should have too much firepower for Leeds as Mikel Arteta’s hosts have scored a whopping 19 goals in their last six Premier League matches, netting at a rate of over three goals per game.
The possible absences of key defensive duo Thomas Partey from midfield and William Saliba from the backline make a Leeds consolation goal or two all the more likely, but the red-hot Gunners should outscore their visitors.
An inability to put the ball in the net has hampered the Graham Potter project since he entered the Chelsea dugout in September, but recent Blues performances suggest their scorelines could start to more accurately reflect the quality of their build-up play.
Having managed a meagre total of just five goals in the first 12 matches of 2023 at a rate of 0.42 goals per game, something seemed to click in the second leg of Chelsea’s last-16 Champions League clash with Borussia Dortmund and Potter’s men have now netted seven goals in their last three outings.
Aston Villa are improved under Unai Emery but still suffer plenty of defensive off-days, conceding three or more goals in five of his 16 matches in charge.
The Villans have conceded at least three times in matches against five of the top 10 this season and could do so once more against a Chelsea side who beat them 2-0 at Villa Park in October.
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