Premier League acca predictions: Gundogan to bag and Villa to beat Foxes
- Back Aston Villa to beat Leicester 2-1
- Back a penalty to open the scoring in Brighton v Bournemouth
- Back Ilkay Gundogan to score at any time against Tottenham
After a brief pause for the fourth round of the FA Cup, it is back aboard the Premier League wagon for a round of fixtures packed full of intrigue following a busy end to the transfer window.
There is plenty to consider when weighing up the latest round of top flight matches and we have come up with a Premier League big-price treble that would return £3,360 from a £10 stake, if successful.
Aston Villa are enjoying life under Unai Emery, winning three of their last four games, and should claim the spoils from Saturday's Midlands derby at home against Leicester.
The Foxes have slipped 10 points behind the Villans in the standings having picked up a league-low one point from their five matches since the World Cup.
Leicester's defensive vulnerabilities have reared their ugly head once more since the season resumed with Brendan Rodgers’ men conceding at least two goals in five of their last eight matches in all competitions.
No team has lost more away games than Leicester (seven) in the Premier League this season too but, to their credit, they rarely go down without a fight, scoring in all but one of their last 16 road engagements.
Nearly half of Leicester's away defeats have been by a 2-1 scoreline, while five of the last seven meetings between these sides at Villa Park have finished 2-1, four of them Villa victories.
Brighton are flying high after their FA Cup win over Liverpool last weekend and will be expected to maintain their push for European qualification at home to Bournemouth.
The Cherries stopped the rot with a draw against Nottingham Forest last time out, ending a run of seven straight defeats in all competitions, but are still firmly entrenched in the relegation mire.
No team has picked up fewer points on the road than Bournemouth and all signs point towards a home win in a game which seems likely to contain a penalty given the carelessness of both sides in their own penalty areas.
The two south coast sides have given away a league-high six spot-kicks each this season with two of Bournemouth’s last four away top-flight matches seeing the deadlock broken from the spot.
The Seagulls have a 100% record from 12 yards this term, while Bournemouth opened the scoring with a penalty on a 2014 trip to Brighton.
Spurs and City reconvene in north London having played out a six-goal thriller at the Etihad Stadium just over a fortnight ago.
The last two games between the big six pair have contained 11 goals so there could be some value looking at alternative goalscoring options away from the usual suspects of Erling Haaland and Harry Kane.
City skipper Ilkay Gundogan, who is usually exempt from Pep Guardiola’s rotation lottery, has netted three in his last four league games against Spurs, bagging five times overall in his career against Tottenham.
The German has not been as prolific in front of goal this season as he was in the previous campaign, largely due to being taken off penalty duty, but is still getting in the right areas, ranking sixth amongst all Premier League midfielders in terms of expected goals.
The 32-year-old has averaged close to two shots per game in City away matches this season and could profit from a porous Spurs defence.
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